Search found 1500 matches

by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 5:27 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Very hit or miss cells. I can't wait to see what our gauge says when I get home...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 1:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Absolutely nothing getting past the forcefield. Cloud now from SE which equals rainshadow.

I give up.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 11:59 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Cass wrote:
Mon Jan 20, 2020 11:57 am
we are getting more rain than I thought we would. 12 mm in 10 minutes and still raining
Which part of town? Airport AWS and also Kangaroo Flat have had zero....
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 9:24 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Heavy rain currently falling over the Mt Buffalo fire grounds. Hope it keeps going for a few hours. That fire has potential to do a lot of damage, so be so good if it can get a good soaking. Hard to pick which rain band will reach here first. Got it approaching from the north, east and south. The m...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 7:12 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Good luck if you manage to get under a dumper like Yarrawonga just did - 22mm in past 30 minutes!

Meanwhile, all still very dry here. Might pick up something from the slow moving rain-band to our North...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 20, 2020 5:41 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Yep. Big downgrades across the board. Still no rain here either. Might scratch together 5-10mm if we're lucky. We're still living in a desert wasteland.
by StratoBendigo
Sun Jan 19, 2020 10:12 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

The storm cell near Lancefield has started a bushfire that's threatening property near Pastoria and Piper's Creek.

And still nothing at our place.
by StratoBendigo
Sun Jan 19, 2020 6:11 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Absolutely nothing here. Forcefield on.

GFS reckons 5mm all week. That'll be right.
by StratoBendigo
Sun Jan 19, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Several forecast models have done a GFS and put us on the edge of deluge or nothing.

Unless there's water on the ground, I'm still skeptical. Especially after the last fail.
by StratoBendigo
Sat Jan 18, 2020 8:54 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

GFS pushes the rain to the East. But it's the outlier since all other forecast models have 30-50mm for here.

I don't see any hot weather in the next week or so either. Such a contrast from late January 2019 when we copped a shocker of a heatwave (ie. 47c).
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 15, 2020 5:26 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Round Two goes around us again. Can't take a trick...
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Smoke gone now. Remarkable that 20mm fell a kilometre away, and just 3mm here. Perhaps more with round two now 40km out West?
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:40 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

BSky wrote:
Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:26 pm
Lovely loud, wet storm now just clearing Bendigo. My guess around 20mm in the CBD
Just 3mm in Kangaroo Flat. Just missed out.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 15, 2020 2:26 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Trough is West of us and consolidating quickly. Not a fast mover.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:48 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 331
Views: 17157

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

JasmineStorm wrote:
Tue Jan 14, 2020 6:02 am
JasmineStorm wrote:
Thu Dec 26, 2019 12:05 pm
The floods are coming.
Like clock work. MJO influenced monsoon pulse weakens the ridge, upper lows start ruling the troposphere over SE OZ.
EC pulls trigger with 100mm+ system for us on Sunday-Tuesday.... MJO in sweet spot.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

EC for Monday is ummm.... Bonkers.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 13, 2020 10:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020
Replies: 377
Views: 14653

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Looks like a lottery. GFS is very enthusiastic about Wednesday night rain. The Canadian forecast goes big for the weekend/early next week. EC not interested in anything much here.

Could get 2mm. Or 100mm in the next week...
by StratoBendigo
Tue Jan 07, 2020 9:02 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 331
Views: 17157

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

The next week or so is likely to see exceptionally heavy rain over more-or-less all of Western Australia, particularly inland areas. This is good news in terms of putting a lid on the extreme temps that have afflicted the continent in the past couple of months. That said, the Simpson Desert will rem...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 06, 2020 3:54 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020
Replies: 109
Views: 4059

Re: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020

Some shocking Air quality numbers today:
http://aqicn.org/map/australia/

717 in Wangaratta atm is dreadful. Melbourne mostly 200-350.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 06, 2020 7:40 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020
Replies: 109
Views: 4059

Re: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020

Smoky here too. We only got 5mm, but it's welcome regardless. Currently 12c and it feels real cold. So in 5 weeks we go from record cold December day, record hot December day, to coldest January day in 29 years....

And it could be back to 40c on Friday.

Rollercoaster.