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by Ken
Wed Aug 07, 2019 11:52 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48480142631_5d7f4586b1_b.jpg Above is a 6-day significant weather graph for Brisbane using FV3 data. The scale on the vertical axis is somewhat arbitrary but in basic terms, the upper end of the scale represents the most extreme values. The blue and red cool and ...
by Ken
Sat Aug 03, 2019 1:53 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

Our main problem atm is (as far as wanting a wintry cold blast goes), if the low peaks too far west, we get a warm NW flow over us for a number of days and even if we do get colder max temps out of it, they'd be delayed. Of course, if it peaks further east, our chances of getting colder SW winds wil...
by Ken
Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:03 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48378710742_9d6e129cd3_z.jpg https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48378565996_70989c7fd4_z.jpg For anyone interested, the Beta BoM webpage (for site-specific weather info) that's been undergoing evaluation for many months, is fully operational: https://weather.bom...
by Ken
Tue Jul 23, 2019 5:23 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

Image


Definitely didn't feel like winter today. Expecting similar tomorrow.
by Ken
Sat Jul 20, 2019 11:35 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48326575957_73aa77f461_b.jpg Thanks crikey :) Another frosty morning here today (pic above) as well as some shallow mist in the lower lying areas, but frost extent will probably contract a touch further inland for the coming week as temps rise a bit. Forecasts cu...
by Ken
Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:21 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48318494676_5b96cac556_b.jpg Another nice frosty morning here on the southside of Brisbane (pic above). However next week, both min and max temps in our region still look set to rise up a bit closer to the July averages (and on some days, warmer than normal, espe...
by Ken
Wed Jul 17, 2019 8:37 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48301824341_78f3626aab_b.jpg https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48301939587_6a9975698b_b.jpg https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48301939862_49fd42a792_b.jpg Thanks Dormant and Jake :) On this day 4 years ago, the SE QLD highlands (more specifically, the Granite...
by Ken
Tue Jul 16, 2019 8:08 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 270
Views: 342357

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/48293832602_bbc9152ede_b.jpg Ahh I just found out my login for these forums from almost a decade ago still works on here. Hi everyone. Anyway this morning saw the 4th frost of the season so far here (near the border of Rochedale and Wishart in southside Brisbane)...
by Ken
Sat Feb 11, 2012 12:28 pm
Forum: International Weather Archives
Topic: Amazing fog formation photos
Replies: 2
Views: 8521

Re: Amazing fog formation photos

Ah sorry, I accidentally uploaded a duplicate photo. Here's the other one:

Image
by Ken
Sat Feb 11, 2012 12:57 am
Forum: International Weather Archives
Topic: Amazing fog formation photos
Replies: 2
Views: 8521

Amazing fog formation photos

Some of you may have seen these photos already but if not, they're of amazing sheaths of fog being formed as moist air comes in from the sea and is forced to rise over the highrise buildings and beach at Panama City in Florida last Sunday. Just goes to show how sensitive and amazing the atmosphere r...
by Ken
Wed Feb 08, 2012 9:12 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland
Replies: 46
Views: 22521

Re: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland

Hmmm for some reason, the GFS ensemble forecast I uploaded in my previous post the other day doesn't show up properly anymore. Here it is again:


Image
by Ken
Wed Feb 08, 2012 8:58 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: QUEENSLAND...Day to day weather talk
Replies: 15
Views: 8961

Re: QUEENSLAND...Day to day weather talk

We've actually removed that from the web for now pending further investigation because it looked suspect. EDIT: there was an impressive 52mm of rain in just 20mins at Laidley west of Brisbane at 3:20pm AEDST from severe thunderstorms. 45mm of rainfall was recorded in 30 minutes at Manly at 4:55pm. 4...
by Ken
Sun Feb 05, 2012 9:33 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland
Replies: 46
Views: 22521

Re: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland

It looks like the next 3 or so weeks may become spectacularly quiet across much of our tropics except the far northeast. The forecast MJO diagram from the EC ensemble currently shows a clear eastward movement of the current active MJO phase away from our continent. This also appears to be reflected ...
by Ken
Sun Feb 05, 2012 12:12 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: North QLD Area Weather
Replies: 975
Views: 317036

Re: North QLD Area Weather

And as at 10pm tonight (Sat), the low was declared Cat 1 tropical cyclone Jasmine with a central pressure of 986hpa and 100 km SE of Willis Is.
by Ken
Sat Feb 04, 2012 11:48 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: North QLD Area Weather
Replies: 975
Views: 317036

Re: North QLD Area Weather

And as at 10pm tonight (Sat), the low was declared Cat 1 tropical cyclone Jasmine with a central pressure of 986hpa and 100 km SE of Willis Is. There were also reports on Sat from residents along the NE tropical coast today of winds "comparable to cyclone winds", uprooted trees and outdoor...
by Ken
Sat Feb 04, 2012 3:50 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia
Replies: 1084
Views: 392124

Re: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

The majority of the wetter signal for Week 2 (from about the 10th til 17th Feb) appears to be mainly around eastern NSW at this stage, although eastern Vic could see some reasonable falls later in the week before then. Ensembles also suggesting mod to strong probabilities of cool anomalies over SE A...
by Ken
Sat Feb 04, 2012 2:49 pm
Forum: International Weather Archives
Topic: US Thunderstorm Season 2012
Replies: 20
Views: 24681

Re: US Thunderstorm Season 2012

There's some pretty active cells cranking away over parts of NE Texas/SE Oklahoma where the SPC has the area under a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms. Some of the more severe cells approaching Fort Smith just over the border of Texas in Arkansas. The numerous white pixels are recent lightning st...
by Ken
Wed Feb 01, 2012 5:45 pm
Forum: International Weather Archives
Topic: Remarkably warm start to winter for US/Europe
Replies: 21
Views: 25871

Re: Remarkably warm start to winter for US/Europe

I was about to say, there's also strong probabilities of widespread warm anomalies forecast across most of the Arctic and northern Siberia, just north of the belt of cold anomalies. But as usual, you'll hardly hear about this on the news because the more densely populated areas of Europe, western Ru...
by Ken
Mon Jan 30, 2012 2:24 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland
Replies: 46
Views: 22521

Re: Wet Season 2011/2012 - Queensland

There's still a distinct possibility of another monsoon low forming near the SE Gulf this week before arcing up across the Cape and out into the Coral Sea where it has a chance of intensifying. But tropical systems like these can sometimes be very tricky to predict so best to keep an open mind about...