Search found 207 matches

by Rhys_34
Thu Dec 19, 2019 3:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019

I just can't see how Melbourne isn't going to record under 45C tomorrow, at least at the airport - this is one superheated mass of air and there will be a solid 30C pool of stinking hot air over Melbourne tomorrow afternoon, 1C hotter then what gave Adelaide a 45C day today...
by Rhys_34
Thu Dec 19, 2019 7:38 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019

South Islnad NZ might be good for you or West coast Tas lol I think living in Mildura 18 hours made me heat lover lol. Heat also means stroms just not in Vic lol Moving from Melbourne to inland Canterbury 7 years ago I can say it’s the perfect spot if you don’t like extreme heat, only 2-3 days a ye...
by Rhys_34
Thu Dec 19, 2019 5:56 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019

South Islnad NZ might be good for you or West coast Tas lol I think living in Mildura 18 hours made me heat lover lol. Heat also means stroms just not in Vic lol Moving from Melbourne to inland Canterbury 7 years ago I can say it’s the perfect spot if you don’t like extreme heat, only 2-3 days a ye...
by Rhys_34
Wed Dec 18, 2019 9:00 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019

No sign of a 50c, despite media hysteria. The gridded data have been showing an area of 50C plus inland for the Nullarbor. It has touched 51C in some runs. Question will come down to whether the heat peaks near stations or not. Guess we will find out in two days :o The trend in extreme heat is very...
by Rhys_34
Sun Dec 15, 2019 4:13 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: Potential record heat: December 15-20

Latest 00z run of GFS being particularly bullish with it’s outlook for Friday/Saturday in terms of extreme heat - 850hpa temps of 30C for Melbourne on Friday and then 850hpa temps of 31C for Sydney on Saturday could easily translate into temps of 47C for Melbourne and 48C for the western suburbs of ...
by Rhys_34
Sat Dec 14, 2019 4:35 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Potential record heat: December 15-20 2019
Replies: 202
Views: 28411

Re: Potential record heat: December 15-20

Canberra is now forecast to reach 43C next Saturday, if this eventuates it’s would smash it’s all-time December record by 4C and it’s all time record by 1C, amazing stuff...
by Rhys_34
Fri Dec 13, 2019 4:59 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019
Replies: 38
Views: 7540

Re: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019

Am I missing something here? I understand why the ABC is latching onto and reporting any record breaking talk in regards to heat because of their AGW obsession but for the BOM to be talking about and I quote: "It is not out of the realms of possibility that we could break our highest ever recorded t...
by Rhys_34
Wed Sep 04, 2019 7:55 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 335
Views: 68695

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

The polar vortex has weakened another 20% on the eastern flank near the southern coast of Chile overnight with winds at 70hpa only registering 94kmh!! There is also an emergence of another secondary circulation above the primary, another sign of a weakening vortex. Things are really getting interest...
by Rhys_34
Tue Sep 03, 2019 8:26 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 335
Views: 68695

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Latest GFS analysis of the polar jet stream at 70hpa is showing an almighty distortion of the polar vortex turning the circulation into an almost oblong shape and a shift of the centre of the vortex to almost off the coast of Antarctica. You can also see a large bulge of the jetstream towards Chile,...
by Rhys_34
Fri Jan 25, 2019 3:09 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

JasmineStorm wrote:
Fri Jan 25, 2019 3:07 pm
NSW joining in on the action with quite a few over 47c as well, Wilcannia Airport 48.3
That will be an all-time high for Wilcannia on both the old and new site...
by Rhys_34
Fri Jan 25, 2019 10:04 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

Mildura running 10C hotter then this time yesterday, for interests sake it got to 45C yesterday...
by Rhys_34
Fri Jan 25, 2019 9:30 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

I will be staggered if Victoria’s January record of 47.2C isn’t broken today by multiple locations
by Rhys_34
Fri Jan 25, 2019 6:23 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

35c here at 5:30am... incredible and a little concerning. Yes we are tracking 4-5C above what Black Saturday was at the same time of day but as the day goes on it will become obvious this is nothing like Blck saturday conditions in terms of wind and also around 1-2C cooler for an absolute maximum t...
by Rhys_34
Thu Jan 24, 2019 7:44 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

Fell just short of 40c. nice stats everyone.... incredible observation day. I think that 49.5c will be max for the day for the AWS's but .... correct if I'm wrong...there are also the non Auto sites (S.A has about a dozen of them) that report for the 9am max. 50c could still have been passed but I ...
by Rhys_34
Thu Jan 24, 2019 5:21 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

44C forecast for tomorrow for Melbourne - same forecast as for Black Saturday...
by Rhys_34
Thu Jan 24, 2019 2:49 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

StratoBendigo wrote:
Thu Jan 24, 2019 2:46 pm
Edinburgh in Adelaide is nudging 48c (47.4c so far).
Getting close to the capital city record of 47.9C that Avalon owns...
by Rhys_34
Wed Jan 23, 2019 4:57 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

A few thoughts on tomorrow for SA and Friday for Victoria, this is a very hot airmass that the models seem to be struggling to pick up, for instance Ceduna today reached 48.4C with 850hpa temps barely touching 30C, tomorrow the 850hpa temp over Adelaide is firmly in the 30C range so can see it reach...
by Rhys_34
Wed Jan 23, 2019 5:40 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

Latest GFS has the change delayed and coming through around 5pm now, will be a lot of 44C temps reached in melbourne if that is the case...can see parts of Adelaide reaching close to 47C tomorrow as well!
by Rhys_34
Mon Jan 21, 2019 9:35 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 34595

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

The one aspect that this Friday will have over February 7th 2009 will be the hot start to the morning, the morning of February 7th was quite benign and mild with it still being 25C at 8am, I can see this Friday being around 28-29C at the same time, lets hope this doesn't mean it will help the maximu...