Search found 2812 matches

by I_Love_Storms
Sun Feb 05, 2017 8:22 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Sunday, 5th of Feb - Tropical influence?
Replies: 152
Views: 12997

Re: Sunday, 5th of Feb - Tropical influence?

39mm in Rhyll 35mm in Geelong. It's like Dec 29 all over again!
by I_Love_Storms
Tue Jan 17, 2017 4:41 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low
Replies: 94
Views: 9936

Re: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low

Dane wrote:I see the temp in the City dropped from 35.4c at midday to 29.9c at 1pm.
It's since climbed back over 36c. Very tricky forecasting day.
Yep fully agree...the sea breeze is VERY weak
by I_Love_Storms
Tue Jan 17, 2017 11:49 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low
Replies: 94
Views: 9936

Re: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low

From memory I think I got about 140mm between 7pm and 8:15pm roughly back then, along with another 50mm for that 24 hour period. I will NEVER forget that, and I'm sure others won't either. Really?! That is hard to believe, I didn't remember it being that severe! I was in Lilydale and I think we got...
by I_Love_Storms
Tue Jan 17, 2017 9:11 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low
Replies: 94
Views: 9936

Re: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low

A bit of an upgrade this evening. It would be great if it comes off and given the moisture streaming down, they might be onto something. Incidentally, it's been 6 years since the monster floods in Northern Vic. I'll never forget the 164mm we got in one week. Crazy days. Try 200mm in an hour in part...
by I_Love_Storms
Mon Jan 16, 2017 10:09 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low
Replies: 94
Views: 9936

Re: Vic : Jan 16 to 23 Warm to Hot start, dry change, then possible trough / deep low

Latest GFS ridiculous for SA. Precipitable water values about 50mm for 5 days in a row
by I_Love_Storms
Sun Jan 01, 2017 10:23 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic - Jan 1 to 8th - mild start, mid week easterly dip, hot finish
Replies: 99
Views: 10629

Re: Vic - Jan 1 to 8th - mild start, mid week easterly dip, hot finish

Latest GFS has PW values around 60mm in SA and 45mm in Vic at the end of the run. A repeat of what we just had. EC has nothing at the moment
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:44 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Yeh it's going off to a degree. Little cells popping up everywhere. Would be nice to be surprised. It's hapoened before in more unexpected situations
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:55 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Storm lining up Melbourne from nw. Back building as well. May be merit in bom reissuing stw. No way that cell doesn't contain very heavy rain
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:46 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

What an amazing day. To even think about those rainfall rates of 400mm/ph is unbelievable. Some of the dew points were unbelievable as well. We are probably lucky there wasn't a bigger trigger or the storms would have been destructive
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 5:59 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Yeah the airmass hasn't changed much. Just knocked a few degrees off due to the rain. Dew points still above 20 and it feels like Byron bay, not Melbourne
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 5:15 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

If models are right some places will crack 100mm quite easily, as the trough is predicted to be west at 10am tomorrow
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 5:02 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

stevco123 wrote:So I'm assuming it's "well done" to the bureau for getting today right but "you fools" for predicting more rain tonight?
Some stuff is trying to form west of Mildura ...may be a while til this stops, let's see
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 4:43 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Viewbank had about 55mm in 25minutes, Scoresby 30mm in 30 min, Mount Waverley similar to Scoresby...nuts. 32mm in 10mm for HB is even more nuts
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 4:01 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Sean wrote:Is this the trough passing through?
I think trough is back near Horsham

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/satellite/vic
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 2:38 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

There is no storms in eastern SA http://www.weatherzone.com.au/stormtracker/ North East SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING for DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL For people in parts of the North East Pastoral district. Issued at 1:12 pm Thursday, 29 December 2016. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce...
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Dec 29, 2016 2:37 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-31 2016
Replies: 531
Views: 34996

Re: Vic: Long warm/hot spell, unsettled end - December 24-

Hawker wrote:Temps are dropping out west, wind change is moving in, storms will be over after this band.
The main trough is at the border